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BritCard: Identity, Inclusion, and the Fine Line Between Safety and Surveillance 

BritCard: Identity, Inclusion, and the Fine Line Between Safety and Surveillance

Let’s be honest. The first reaction to a new government-backed identity card like the proposed BritCard isn’t excitement — it’s suspicion.

Headlines and social media posts paint a picture of a tracking tool:

  • A way to log when you go abroad.
  • A database that can follow your every move.
  • Even fears that the government could dip directly into your bank account.

These stories get attention because they play to something real — our collective anxiety about privacy and control in the digital age.

The plan is to anchor BritCard within the existing Gov.UK One Login/Wallet infrastructure, enabling landlords, employers, banks, and public services to verify entitlements — such as right-to-work and right-to-rent — through a single secure verifier app.

This blog explores both sides of the BritCard conversation: the tangible benefits a universal digital ID could deliver and the concerns that need addressing if it’s to earn public trust. Whether you see it as a step toward inclusion or a step too far, the debate matters — because the way we design identity systems shapes how millions of people access services, prove who they are, and protect what’s theirs.

The Potential Benefits

  • Free ID for Everyone

    Passports and driving licences cost money — often over £80 — and not everyone can afford them. That’s why, even today, estimates suggest between 2 and 3.5 million adults in the UK do not have any form of recognised photo ID. For those people, everyday tasks like proving their identity for a job, rental, or bank account become unnecessarily difficult.

    A free, universal ID could change that by giving everyone the same basic proof of identity, regardless of income or background. Everyone should have the right to a free, recognised form of identification. For some, the BritCard could be their very first form of official ID — a tool that unlocks access, not just for the few, but for everyone.

  • “I Don’t Have My Document With Me — But I Have My Phone”

    We’ve all had that frustrating moment: halfway through an application, asked for a passport or licence that’s sitting in a drawer at home. With a reusable digital ID, that roadblock disappears. You carry it with you, ready to use in seconds, whether you’re applying for a loan, signing a tenancy, or verifying your age.
  • Fighting Deepfakes, Fake IDs, and Synthetic Identities

    Fraudsters thrive on weak ID checks. They exploit gaps by creating fake identities, using stolen details, or even building synthetic identities that blend real and fake information to appear legitimate. In 2024, UK victims reported over 100,000 cases of identity fraud, with losses running into the hundreds of millions.

    Criminals are already a step ahead. They’re using deepfake technology to generate highly convincing images and videos of passports, driving licences, and even live “selfie” checks. These fakes are often detected — but when they slip through the net, the results can be very costly for businesses in terms of direct losses, compliance fines, and reputational damage.

    Would the BritCard be a perfect, spoof-proof solution? Probably not. No system is. But by anchoring identity to a single, secure, government-issued credential, rather than fragmented checks across dozens of providers, it could raise the barrier significantly.

  • Inclusion for the “Thin File”

    Not everyone has a long credit history. Young people, newcomers to the UK, and international students often struggle to prove not that they exist, but where they live.

    Take Anna, a 19-year-old student from Spain arriving for university. She doesn’t have a UK credit record, isn’t on the electoral roll, and her rental agreement isn’t always accepted by banks. Today, opening a bank account might take weeks of back-and-forth. With a BritCard linked to her university enrolment and HMRC registration, her address could be confirmed instantly — letting her start life in the UK without delay.

    This kind of real-time verification would mean:

    • Faster access for genuine newcomers and young people.
    • Less frustration in everyday applications.
    • Stronger protection against fake documents, since address data would come only from verified sources.
  • One Solution Across Industries

    Today, every organisation has its own way of verifying identity. Banks, lenders, telcos, landlords, and employers all use different systems, which means customers face repeated checks, duplicated requests, and sometimes inconsistent outcomes.

    A universal digital ID like the BritCard could streamline this. Instead of juggling multiple verification systems, businesses could plug into a single, trusted credential.

  • Banks & lenders:
    Since the Immigration Act requires them to verify that customers have the right to live and work in the UK, a universal digital ID could make compliance far easier — reducing manual processes and ensuring consistency.
  • Telcos & utilities:
    Easier verification for new contracts, protecting against account fraud and “bust-out” scams.
  • Landlords & letting agents:
    Reliable right-to-rent checks without chasing paper documents.
  • Employers:
    Quicker right-to-work verification, reducing the cost and risk of manual checks.
  • E-commerce & digital services:
    Stronger age and identity checks at checkout, with less friction for genuine buyers.
  • Healthcare and public services:
    Faster onboarding with safeguards for sensitive data.
In short, the BritCard could become a common trust layer across industries, making life easier for genuine customers and raising the bar for criminals trying to exploit inconsistent processes.

What We Can Learn from Other Countries

The UK wouldn’t be the first to try a universal digital identity. Other countries have already rolled out similar schemes, with valuable lessons:
estonia flagEstonia has built one of the most advanced digital societies in the world on the back of its national ID. Citizens use it for healthcare, tax, banking, and even voting. A cryptographic flaw in 2017 forced an emergency response — a reminder that even strong systems must plan for cyber risks.
denmark flagDenmark’s MitID is used by almost all adults, proving that widespread adoption is possible. It has improved trust and convenience, though scams and social engineering remain ongoing challenges.
singapore flagSingapore’s Singpass shows how integration across public and private services can reduce friction for citizens, but also how critical it is to provide strong customer support against fraud attempts.
india flagIndia’s Aadhaar demonstrates scale and inclusion, giving hundreds of millions of people their first form of ID. But it has also highlighted the importance of legal guardrails and clear limits on how data can be used.
When designed well, digital ID systems can unlock access, improve security, and fight fraud. But every example also shows that inclusion, privacy, and resilience must be built in from day one.

The Concerns and Risks of BritCard

For the BritCard to work, public trust will be just as important as the technology itself. While the benefits are clear, there are also challenges that need to be addressed.
  • Inclusion and the Right to ID
    Every adult should have the right to a recognised identity. For some, the BritCard could be their very first form of official ID. But to live up to that promise, it must be accessible to everyone — not just those with smartphones, stable internet, or digital confidence. Without inclusive design and offline options, the very people who stand to benefit most could still be left out.
  • Privacy and Data Use
    People want to know how their data will be stored, who can access it, and for what purpose. Without clear guardrails, concerns about “too much information in one place” could undermine trust.
  • Cyber security
    Any centralised identity system will be a target for hackers. Even the most secure designs need robust contingency plans, rapid patching, and transparent communication in the event of an incident.
  • Consistency of Experience

    If the BritCard is adopted unevenly, with some industries using it fully and others sticking to older processes, users may end up facing the same frustrations as today. A smooth, consistent experience will be critical to delivering real value.

Walking the Fine Line

To some, BritCard feels like a step closer to monitoring; to others, it promises inclusion, protection, and simplicity. The truth is that it could be both — or neither — depending on how it is designed and delivered.

If the system is built with cyber security at its core, with ease of use for every citizen, and with a focus on adding real value for both consumers and businesses, then the BritCard could solve many of the frustrations we face today with passports, licences, and paper-based processes.

Get it wrong, and it risks being seen as another layer of control. Get it right, and it could be one of the most empowering tools of the digital age — tackling fraud, opening access, and proving that identity can be both secure and inclusive.

This isn’t about politics — it’s about tackling fraud, improving inclusion, and building a digital ID system that puts privacy and cyber security first.

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Navigating the Promise and Peril of Generative AI in Financial Services

Navigating the Promise and Peril of Generative AI in Financial Services

Financial services leaders are being bombarded with AI pitches. Every vendor claims their solution will revolutionise decisioning, slash costs, and unlock untapped revenue. Meanwhile, your competitors are announcing AI initiatives, your board is asking questions, and your teams are already experimenting with ChatGPT and other tools—sometimes without your knowledge.

The pressure to “do something” with AI is intense. But the organisations that rush to deploy generative AI without understanding its limitations are setting themselves up for problems that may not become apparent until it’s too late.

At Provenir, we’ve built AI decisioning capabilities that process over 4 billion decisions annually for financial institutions in 60+ countries. We’ve seen what works, what doesn’t, and what keeps risk leaders up at night. More importantly, we’ve watched organisations make costly mistakes as they navigate AI adoption.

In this article you’ll find a practical assessment of where generative AI delivers real value in financial services, where it introduces unacceptable risk, and how to tell the difference.

Where AI Delivers Value

The efficiency benefits of AI in financial services are tangible and significant. Here’s where we’ve seen AI deliver measurable business impact:
  • Faster model development and market response:
    What once took months in model evaluation and data assessment can now happen in weeks, enabling lenders to respond to market changes and test new data sources with unprecedented speed.
  • Transaction data transformed into intelligence:
    Advanced machine learning processes enormous volumes of transaction data to generate personalised consumer insights and recommendations at scale—turning raw data into revenue opportunities.
  • Operational oversight streamlined:
    Generative AI helps business leaders cut through the noise by querying and summarising vast amounts of real-time operational data. Instead of manually reviewing dashboards and reports, leaders can quickly identify where to focus their attention—surfacing which workflows need intervention, which segments are underperforming, and where action is most likely to drive business value.
These aren’t future possibilities. Financial institutions are achieving these outcomes today: 95% automation rates in application processing, 135% increases in fraud detection, 25% faster underwriting cycles. While GenAI-powered assistants accelerate model building and rapidly surface strategic insights from complex decision data.

The Risks Nobody Talks About

However, our work with financial institutions has also revealed emerging risks that deserve serious consideration:
When AI-Generated Code Contradicts Itself

Perhaps the most concerning trend we’re observing is the use of large language models to generate business-critical code in isolation. When teams prompt an LLM to build decisioning logic without full knowledge of the existing decision landscape, they risk creating contradictory rules that undermine established risk strategies.

We’ve seen this play out: one business unit uses an LLM to create fraud rules that inadvertently conflict with credit policies developed by another team. The result? Approved customers getting blocked, or worse—high-risk applicants slipping through because competing logic created gaps in coverage. In regulated environments where consistency and auditability are paramount, this fragmentation poses significant operational and compliance risks.

When Confidence Masks Inaccuracy

LLMs are known to “hallucinate”—generating confident-sounding but factually incorrect responses. In financial services, where precision matters and mistakes can be costly, even occasional hallucinations represent an unacceptable risk. A single flawed credit decision or fraud rule based on hallucinated logic could cascade into significant losses.

This problem intensifies when you consider data integrity and security concerns. LLMs trained on broad, uncontrolled datasets risk inheriting biases, errors, or even malicious code. In an era of sophisticated fraud and state-sponsored cyber threats, the attack surface expands dramatically when organisations feed sensitive data into third-party AI systems or deploy AI-generated code without rigorous validation.

The Expertise Erosion

A more insidious risk is the gradual erosion of technical expertise within organisations that become overly dependent on AI-generated solutions. When teams stop developing deep domain knowledge and critical thinking skills—assuming AI will always have the answer—organisations become vulnerable in ways that may only become apparent during crisis moments when human judgment is most needed.

Combine this with LLMs that are only as good as the prompts they receive, and you have a compounding problem. When users lack deep understanding of what they’re truly asking—or worse, ask the wrong question entirely—even sophisticated AI will provide flawed guidance. This “garbage in, garbage out” problem is amplified when AI-generated recommendations inform high-stakes decisions around credit risk or fraud prevention.

Regulators Are Watching

The regulatory environment is evolving rapidly to address AI risks. The EU AI Act, upcoming guidance from financial regulators, and increasing scrutiny around algorithmic bias all point toward a future where AI deployment without proper governance carries substantial penalties. Beyond fines, reputational damage from AI-driven failures could be existential for financial institutions built on customer trust.

What Successful Institutions Are Doing Differently

Based on our work with financial institutions globally, the organisations getting AI right start with a fundamental recognition: AI is already being used across their organisation, whether they know it or not. Employees are experimenting with ChatGPT, using LLMs to generate code, and making AI-assisted decisions—often without formal approval or oversight. The successful institutions don’t pretend this isn’t happening. Instead, they establish clear AI governance frameworks, roll out comprehensive training programs, and implement mechanisms to monitor adherence. Without this governance layer, you’re operating blind to the AI risks already present in your organisation.

With governance established, these organisations focus on maintaining human oversight at critical decision points. AI augments rather than replaces human expertise. Business users configure decision strategies with intuitive tools, but data scientists maintain oversight of model development and deployment. This isn’t about slowing down innovation—it’s about ensuring AI recommendations get validated by people who understand the broader context.

Equally important, they refuse to accept black boxes. In regulated industries, explainability isn’t negotiable. Every decision needs to be traceable and understandable. This isn’t just about compliance—it’s about maintaining the ability to debug, optimize, and continuously improve decision strategies. When something goes wrong (and it will), you need to understand why.

Rather than accumulating point solutions, successful institutions build on unified architecture. They recognise that allowing fragmented, AI-generated code to proliferate creates more problems than it solves. Instead, they use platforms that provide consistent decision orchestration across the customer lifecycle. Whether handling onboarding, fraud detection, customer management, or collections, the architecture ensures that AI enhancements strengthen rather than undermine overall decision coherence.

These organisations also treat AI as a living system requiring continuous attention. AI models need ongoing observability and retraining. Continuous performance monitoring helps identify when models need refinement and surfaces optimisation opportunities before they impact business outcomes. The institutions that treat AI deployment as “set it and forget it” are the ones that end up with the costliest surprises.

Finally, they maintain control of their data. Rather than sending sensitive data to third-party LLMs, forward-thinking organisations deploy AI solutions within secure environments. This reduces both security risks and regulatory exposure while maintaining full control over proprietary information.

Why Inaction Isn’t an Option

The irony is that many leaders debating whether to “adopt AI” have already lost control of that decision. AI is already being used in their organisations—the only question is whether it’s governed or ungoverned, sanctioned or shadow IT.

Meanwhile, fintech disruptors are leveraging AI to deliver frictionless, personalised experiences that traditional institutions must match. The competitive gap isn’t just about technology—it’s about the ability to move quickly while maintaining control and compliance.

Organisations that succeed will be those that combine AI capabilities with strong governance frameworks, architectural discipline, and deep domain expertise. They’ll move beyond isolated experiments to implement AI in ways that deliver real business value while maintaining the trust and regulatory compliance that financial services demand.

The institutions making smart bets on AI aren’t the ones moving fastest—they’re the ones moving most thoughtfully, with equal attention to capability, transparency and governance.

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How Digital Banks in APAC Can Turn AI Governance Into Competitive Advantage

How Digital Banks in APAC Can Turn AI Governance Into Competitive Advantage

From Risk to Reward: AI Governance in APAC Banking

If you’re leading digital transformation at a bank in Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand, or across APAC, you’re facing a critical tension:

On one hand, your customers expect instant approvals, personalized offers, and frictionless experiences. AI is the key to delivering this at scale.

On the other hand, regulators are classifying AI use cases like credit scoring, fraud detection, AML/KYC monitoring, customer targeting, and compliance automation as “high-risk” — demanding explainability, bias testing, and robust audit trails.

So what do you do? Slow down innovation to stay compliant? Or move fast and hope for the best?

The best digital banks are doing neither.

Instead, they’re treating AI governance as a strategic advantage — using it to build customer trust, reduce risk, and move faster than competitors still stuck on legacy systems.

Here are five AI use cases where getting governance right unlocks measurable business value.

Credit Scoring & Lending:
Say Yes to More Customers — Safely

  • Why This Matters:

    Traditional credit scoring leaves millions of customers underserved. Thin-file applicants, gig workers, and new-to-credit customers often get rejected — not because they’re risky, but because legacy models can’t assess them fairly. 

    AI changes this. By analyzing alternative data, behavioral patterns, and real-time signals, digital banks can approve more customers while actually reducing default rates. 

  • The Governance Reality:

    Credit scoring is now classified as high-risk AI because biased or opaque models can lead to unfair lending, regulatory fines, and brand damage. MAS, BNM, and BOT are all increasing scrutiny on how banks make credit decisions. 

  • How to Do It Right:

    Leading digital banks are deploying explainable AI models with: 

  • Built-in bias testing to ensure fair treatment across demographics 
  • Continuous monitoring to catch model drift before it becomes a problem 
  • Human oversight workflows for edge cases 
  • Complete audit trails that satisfy regulators 

The result? They approve more customers, with confidence. 

Real Impact:

  • 95%

    of applications processed automatically without manual review

  • 25%

    faster underwriting while maintaining risk standards 

  • 135%

    increase in conversion rates through personalized credit decisions

The Bottom Line:

When you can explain why you approved or declined someone — and prove there’s no bias in the decision — you can safely expand your lending reach while building customer trust. 

Fraud Detection:
Stop More Fraud Without Frustrating Customers

  • Why This Matters:

    Mobile-first banking in APAC is booming — but so is fraud. Synthetic identity fraud, account takeovers, and first-party fraud are costing banks millions while eroding customer trust. 

    The problem with traditional fraud systems? They’re either too aggressive (blocking good customers) or too lenient (letting fraud through). You can’t win. 

  • The Governance Reality:

    Fraud detection models face increasing regulatory scrutiny on accuracy, robustness, and explainability. False positives damage customer experience. False negatives cost you money and regulatory credibility. 

  • How to Do It Right:

    The most effective approach combines: 

  • Behavioral profiling that learns normal vs. suspicious patterns over time 
  • Identity AI that detects synthetic IDs and stolen credentials 
  • Adaptive models that evolve as fraud tactics change 
  • Explainable alerts so investigators understand why a transaction was flagged 

This isn’t about blocking more transactions — it’s about blocking the right transactions while letting good customers through. 

Real Impact:

  • 135%

    increase in high-risk fraud stopped

  • 130%

    increase in legitimate approvals (fewer false positives) 

  • Faster

    investigation times with explainable, prioritized alerts 

The Bottom Line:

When your fraud models are transparent, adaptive, and accurate, you protect revenue and customer experience — without choosing between them. 

AML / KYC Monitoring:
Move From Reactive to Proactive Compliance

  • Why This Matters:

    Manual AML and KYC processes are expensive, error-prone, and slow. They also create compliance risk: missed suspicious activity can lead to massive fines, license threats, and reputational damage. 

    Automated monitoring solves this — but only if it’s done right. 

  • The Governance Reality:

    Regulators across APAC are demanding robust documentation, clear alert logic, and evidence that your AML systems actually work. “We have a system” isn’t enough anymore — you need to prove effectiveness. 

  • How to Do It Right:

    Smart digital banks are implementing: 

  • Continuous monitoring that flags suspicious patterns in real-time 
  • Automated alerts with clear, explainable logic 
  • Complete audit trails that document every decision 
  • Risk-based approaches that focus resources on the highest-risk cases 

The goal isn’t just compliance — it’s confident compliance that doesn’t drain resources. 

Real Impact:

  • Automated

    alert generation with explainable logic 

  • Reduced

    false positives and investigator workload 

  • Audit-ready

    Audit-ready documentation that satisfies regulators across multiple markets 

The Bottom Line:

When your AML/KYC systems are transparent, well-documented, and continuously monitored, compliance becomes a strength — not a burden. 

Customer Personalization:
Build Loyalty Without Breaking Trust

  • Why This Matters:

    Generic offers don’t work anymore. Customers expect you to know them — to offer the right product, at the right time, through the right channel. 

    AI-driven personalization makes this possible at scale. But get it wrong, and you risk privacy breaches, customer backlash, and regulatory penalties. 

  • The Governance Reality:

    Using customer data for targeting and personalization requires explicit consent, transparent logic, and fair treatment. PDPA regulations across APAC are tightening, and customers are increasingly aware of how their data is used. 

  • How to Do It Right:

    The most successful digital banks approach personalization with: 

  • Consent-first data practices that respect customer privacy 
  • Explainable recommendations so customers understand why they’re seeing certain offers 
  • Fairness testing to ensure no demographic groups are disadvantaged 
  • Real-time engagement that feels helpful, not intrusive 

Done right, personalization doesn’t feel creepy — it feels helpful. 

Real Impact:

  • 550%

    increase in accepted product offers 

  • 2.5x

    faster approvals for credit line increases 

  • 20%

    reduction in defaults through proactive risk management 

The Bottom Line:

When personalization is transparent, consent-based, and fair, it builds loyalty instead of eroding trust. 

Compliance Automation:
Launch Products in Weeks, Not Months

  • Why This Matters:

    The most frustrating bottleneck in digital banking? Waiting months for IT to implement new products or adapt to regulatory changes. 

    Meanwhile, competitors move faster, customers get impatient, and opportunities slip away. 

  • The Governance Reality:

    New regulations like MAS guidelines, BNM frameworks, and BOT standards require rapid adaptation. But most banks’ compliance systems are rigid, manual, and dependent on IT resources. 

  • How to Do It Right:

    Leading digital banks are adopting: 

  • Low-code compliance workflows that business users can configure 
  • Real-time validation against regulatory rules 
  • Scenario testing to identify issues before going live 
  • Multi-market support for banks operating across APAC 

This isn’t about cutting corners — it’s about making compliance more agile. 

Real Impact:

  • 4-month

     average time from concept to live product 

  • Changes to processes

     made in minutes, not weeks 

  • Successful expansion

     across multiple APAC markets with different regulatory requirements 

The Bottom Line:

When compliance is automated and business-user-friendly, it accelerates innovation instead of blocking it. 

The Pattern:
Governance Unlocks Growth

Notice the pattern across all five use cases?

The digital banks winning in APAC aren’t treating governance as a checkbox exercise. They’re using it to:

  • Build customer trust through fairness and transparency 
  • Reduce operational risk with continuous monitoring and audit trails 
  • Move faster by removing IT bottlenecks and vendor dependencies 
  • Scale confidently across products, markets, and customer segments 

The difference between treating governance as a burden vs. an advantage often comes down to infrastructure. 

  • Legacy systems make governance hard: they’re rigid, opaque, and require heavy IT lift for every change. 
  • Point solutions create governance gaps: fraud in one system, credit in another, compliance somewhere else — with no unified view. 
  • Modern AI decisioning platforms make governance natural: explainability built in, audit trails automatic, changes fast, and everything connected. 

What to Look For in an AI Decisioning Platform

If you’re evaluating solutions to power AI decisioning across your digital bank, here’s what matters: 

  • Unified Lifecycle Coverage

    Can it handle credit, fraud, customer management, and collections — or will you need to stitch together multiple systems?

  • Built-in Governance

    Does it offer explainability, bias testing, audit trails, and monitoring out of the box — or is governance an afterthought?

  • Decision Intelligence

    Can you simulate strategies, optimize performance, and continuously improve — or are you locked into static rules?

  • Business User Agility

    Can your risk and compliance teams make changes independently — or do you need IT for every adjustment?

  • Real-Time Data Orchestration

    Can you access the data you need, when you need it, through a single API — or are you managing dozens of integrations?

Final Thoughts:
The Future Belongs to Governed Innovation

The digital banks that will dominate APAC in 2025 and beyond won’t be the ones that move fastest or the ones that are most compliant. 

They’ll be the ones that do both — using governance as the foundation for sustainable, scalable, customer-centric growth. 

Because here’s the truth: customers don’t choose banks based on AI capabilities or compliance certifications. They choose banks they trust — banks that make smart decisions quickly, treat them fairly, and keep their data safe. 

Governance isn’t the obstacle to delivering that experience. When done right, it’s what makes it possible. 

Ready to shape the future of your decisioning with AI?

Contact Us

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First-Party Fraud: The Hidden Cost

BLOG

First-Party Fraud:
The Hidden Cost of “Good” Customers

Unmasking Risk with a Unified Approach

  • jason abbott headshot

    Jason Abbott 

In the relentless battle against fraud, our industry has traditionally focused heavily on third-party attacks – the obvious criminals attempting to steal identities or hijack accounts. While crucial, this focus can obscure a far more insidious and often underestimated threat: first-party fraud (FPF).

First-party fraud occurs when a seemingly legitimate customer manipulates products or services for financial gain. Unlike external fraudsters, these individuals often use their own genuine identity, making them incredibly difficult to detect with traditional fraud detection methods. The insidious nature of FPF means it frequently slips through the cracks, masquerading as legitimate credit risk or bad debt, and quietly eroding profitability across a number of businesses globally.

The Nuances of First-Party: Beyond Just Bad Debt

FPF manifests in various forms:
  • No Intent to Repay: This is perhaps the most damaging type. Here, the applicant takes out a loan, opens a credit line, or acquires a device with a deliberate intention not to repay from the outset. They may appear creditworthy on paper, but their true aim is to default.
  • Fabricated Income/Employment: Inflating income, creating fake employment, or misrepresenting financial obligations to secure better terms or larger credit limits.
  • Bust-Out Schemes: Initially establishing a good payment history, then maxing out credit lines with no intention of repayment, often followed by disappearing or declaring bankruptcy.
  • Friendly Fraud/Chargeback Abuse: Disputing legitimate charges or feigning non-receipt of goods/services to avoid payment.
  • Early Account Closure/Churn: Using an account for a specific benefit (e.g., promotional offer, cashback) and then closing it immediately, leaving the provider out of pocket.

The core challenge with FPF, particularly “no intent to repay,” is that it blurs the lines between credit risk and outright fraud. A customer might appear to simply be a “bad credit risk” when, in fact, they are a fraudster. Traditional fraud prevention systems, often siloed from credit risk assessments, are not designed to detect this deliberate deception.

Why FPF Goes Undetected: The Blurry Line of Intent

The struggle to detect FPF stems from several factors:

  • Authentic Identity: The applicant uses their real name, address, and genuine identity documents. This makes it difficult for standard ID&V checks to flag them as fraudulent.
  • Intent is Hard to Prove: Proving intent to defraud is complex. Unlike stolen identities, where the illicit nature is clear, FPF relies on understanding behavioral anomalies and subtle red flags that indicate malicious pre-meditation.
  • Siloed Operations: Credit risk, fraud, and collections teams often operate independently, using separate data sets and disparate systems. This prevents a holistic view of the customer journey and makes it challenging to connect early application behaviors with later default patterns.
  • Data Gaps: Traditional credit models primarily focus on past payment behavior. They often lack the dynamic, real-time insights into application inconsistencies, behavioral biometrics, or device intelligence that could expose FPF.

Unifying Risk to Unmask First-Party Fraud Through Behavioral Intelligence

Effectively combating first-party fraud – especially the “no intent to repay” variant – requires a unified, data-driven approach that breaks down the traditional silos between fraud, credit risk, and even collections. This necessitates adding a crucial layer of behavioral intelligence to risk assessments.

  • Orchestrating a 360-Degree View of the Applicant: The key to unmasking intent lies in connecting seemingly disparate data points. This involves integrating vast and diverse data sources – not just credit bureau data, but alternative data, device intelligence, telecom data, and internal application history. By orchestrating this rich tapestry of information, a comprehensive profile can be built that reveals subtle inconsistencies and red flags indicative of FPF.
  • Early Detection of Fraudulent Intent through Behavioral Signals: This goes beyond traditional checks. Actively capturing and analyzing behavioral signals during the application process and beyond can provide critical insights. These include:

    • Application Behavior: How an applicant interacts with the application form (e.g., speed of completion, excessive copy/pasting, rapid changes to information, unusual navigation patterns).
    • Device Fingerprinting: Identifying suspicious device usage patterns (e.g., multiple applications from the same device but different identities, use of emulators or VPNs).
    • User Interface Anomalies: Detecting unusual interactions that deviate from typical, legitimate user behavior. These early behavioral indicators, often invisible to conventional systems, provide invaluable insights into a potential “no intent to repay” scenario, allowing for intervention before a loss occurs.
  • Advanced Machine Learning Models for Deeper Intent Detection: Leveraging this enriched dataset, including behavioral signals, powerful machine learning models can be employed. These models should be continuously learning and adapting to:

    • Identify Anomalies in Application Data: Pinpointing unusual patterns that might bypass basic checks.
    • Correlate Behavioral Flags with Risk: Understanding how specific behavioral patterns, when combined with other data, indicate a higher propensity for FPF.
    • Predict “No Intent to Repay”: By analyzing a combination of application data, behavioral signals, past repayment behaviors (across an ecosystem of lenders, if applicable), and external fraud indicators, models can generate a predictive score for intent-based fraud. This allows for proactive intervention at the application stage.

  • Real-Time, Adaptive Decisioning: FPF requires rapid response. Real-time decision engines allow organizations to instantly assess the nuanced risk of each applicant. This means legitimate customers experience seamless onboarding, while suspicious applications are flagged for further review or denied, preventing losses before they occur. The flexibility of such systems enables rapid adaptation of strategies as new FPF patterns emerge.

Connecting the Dots Across the Customer Lifecycle: A core strength lies in unifying platforms for credit risk, fraud prevention, and collections. This holistic view is paramount for FPF:

  • Integrated Data for Credit Risk: Data insights gathered during fraud detection, including behavioral signals, can directly feed into and enhance credit risk models, providing a more accurate assessment of true repayment likelihood.
  • Early Warning for Collections: By identifying FPF at the application stage or early in the account lifecycle, businesses can proactively adjust collections strategies, prioritize accounts, or even prevent the onboarding of high-risk individuals from the outset.
  • Feedback Loops for Continuous Improvement: Performance data from credit risk and collections efforts can be fed back into the fraud models, creating a powerful feedback loop that continuously refines detection capabilities.

Beyond the Bad Debt Write-Off: Preventing Fraud at the Source

First-party fraud is not simply bad debt; it’s a deliberate act of deception that demands a dedicated, intelligent solution. By moving beyond siloed operations and embracing a unified risk approach that intelligently combines traditional and behavioral data, leverages advanced machine learning, and enables real-time decisioning, businesses can effectively unmask “no intent to repay” schemes and other forms of FPF. This not only mitigates significant financial losses but also ensures that resources are focused on truly legitimate customers, fostering a more secure and profitable ecosystem for all.


Jason Abbott is a highly experienced fraud prevention leader with 18 years of expertise, currently serving as the Director of Fraud Solutions at Provenir. He specializes in application fraud, identity, and authentication, with a strong background in product management and go-to-market strategies for fraud software. Having held significant roles at major UK banks like JPMorgan Chase & Co., Barclays, and HSBC, Jason has a proven ability to deliver results across retail, corporate, and wealth sectors, actively contributing to the industry by sharing insights on evolving fraud threats. Get in touch on LinkedIn.

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Driving Intelligent Lending Beyond the LOS: A Leadership Perspective from Provenir

Driving Intelligent Lending Beyond the LOS: A Leadership Perspective from Provenir

As financial institutions across APAC push to digitize lending operations, much of the conversation tends to focus on the capabilities of the Loan Origination System (LOS). While LOS platforms are essential for managing the traditional lending process—intake, verification, risk scoring—it’s what happens before the LOS that often determines the speed, quality, and compliance of loan decisions.

At Provenir, we believe the real power lies in elevating what sits in front of the LOS—the intelligence layer that guides approvals, safeguards compliance, and accelerates value. Here’s how.

  • Workflow Automation:

    Intelligence That Drives Action

    Speed alone isn’t enough. What banks and lenders need is intelligent speed—the kind that automates workflows without sacrificing decision quality.

    By integrating with LOS platforms, Provenir automates key approval tasks, assigns decisions to underwriters based on dynamic rules, and enforces SLAs with real-time tracking. This not only shortens turnaround times but ensures borrowers experience a faster, smarter path to credit—especially crucial in today’s digital-first market.

  • Compliance & Audit Trail:

    Transparency Built In

    The compliance landscape in APAC continues to evolve rapidly. From responsible lending mandates to data privacy and auditability, lenders are under pressure to demonstrate control.

    Provenir doesn’t just move decisions forward—it builds in a clear, automated audit trail. Every step in the decisioning journey is tracked, recorded, and easily reportable. This means institutions can adapt to changing regulations with confidence and prove compliance without creating operational drag.

  • Disbursement & Handover:

    From Decision to Disbursement, Seamlessly

    The final mile of the lending process is often where delays creep in: approvals bottleneck, fund disbursement stalls, or handover to the LMS breaks continuity.

    With Provenir orchestrating the flow in front of the LOS, final approvals are executed with precision, disbursements are triggered based on real-time decision outcomes, and data is handed off cleanly to servicing platforms. The result? A frictionless transition from origination to servicing—and a far better borrower experience.

The Bigger Picture: Enabling Responsible Growth at Scale

Lending transformation isn’t just about digitizing forms or automating checks. It’s about enabling responsive, compliant, and scalable decisioning that powers long-term growth.

By serving as the intelligent layer in front of the LOS, Provenir helps lenders:

  • Move faster, without losing control
  • Deliver experiences customers trust
  • Meet evolving regulatory expectations
  • Drive profitability through smarter operations

As APAC continues its digital lending evolution, the institutions that win will be those that think beyond process automation—and embrace decisioning as a competitive advantage.


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About the Author
Ken Lee is the APAC Account Director at Provenir, working closely with financial institutions across the region to modernize risk decisioning, compliance, and customer experience through real-time intelligence.
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Beyond the Selfie: Why Digital ID&V Isn’t the Silver Bullet for Modern Fraud

Beyond the Selfie:
Why Digital ID&V Isn’t the Silver Bullet for Modern Fraud

In our increasingly digital world, the promise of seamless customer onboarding and instant identity verification (ID&V) has led to the widespread adoption of digital document capture and selfie verification solutions. These technologies, often lauded for their speed and convenience, have undoubtedly revolutionized how businesses interact with their customers, enabling rapid scaling and a vastly improved user experience.

However, as a Fraud Solutions Director, my perspective is clear: digital ID&V, while foundational, is not the silver bullet for combating the sophisticated fraud threats of today.

The belief that a perfect document scan and a convincing liveness check are all that’s needed to secure an identity is a dangerous oversimplification. While these tools excel at verifying the apparent authenticity of a document and the presence of a live individual, they often fall short in detecting the more insidious forms of fraud that are costing businesses billions annually.

The Cracks in the Digital ID&V Facade
Why isn’t doc capture and selfie verification enough?

  • The Proliferation of Deepfakes and AI-Generated Identities:

    Criminals now have readily accessible AI tools that can create incredibly realistic looking documents – from driver’s licenses to passports – in mere seconds. These tools can also generate convincing deepfake videos and images that can bypass basic liveness detection checks. What’s more, when criminals impersonate victims and add their face to a realistic false document, the initial verification step becomes void, as their face will match the fabricated ID, and they can successfully complete any liveness challenge. Relying solely on a visual assessment, whether human or automated, is becoming increasingly risky as the quality of these fraudulent artifacts improves exponentially.
  • Rampant Data Breaches Fueling Identity Fraud:

    Data breaches are a relentless problem, constantly exposing vast quantities of personal identifiable information (PII). This exposure puts consumers at a significantly higher risk of identity fraud. Fraudsters are incredibly skilled at piecing together this compromised data with fabricated details to construct highly plausible synthetic identities, or to facilitate impersonation identity fraud by using real PII with false documents. A single digital ID&V check, which primarily focuses on the visual appearance of a document and a liveness test, is simply ill-equipped to uncover these sophisticated, blended identities that originate from breached data.

  • The “One-and-Done” Pitfall:

    Identity verification is often treated as a one-time event at onboarding. But an individual’s risk profile, or even the integrity of their account, can change dramatically over time. If a solution only focuses on the initial application, it leaves a wide open door for account takeovers or mule activity once the initial check is complete.

  • Lack of Contextual Intelligence:

    Digital ID&V tools are designed to evaluate the document and the selfie in isolation. They don’t inherently connect these data points to a broader network of intelligence – behavioral patterns, device forensics, or historical fraud insights across disparate data sources.

The Imperative:
Catching Those Who Slip the Net

The reality is that a significant number of fraudsters will slip through a purely digital ID&V net. These are the perpetrators behind synthetic identity fraud, sophisticated application fraud, payment fraud, and the initial stages of account takeovers. They often operate in fraud rings, coordinating attacks that individually might appear benign but collectively indicate systemic compromise. The costs associated with these undetected threats are staggering, leading to direct financial losses, reputational damage, increased operational expenses, and an erosion of trust.

This is where a robust, multi-layered fraud prevention strategy becomes not just beneficial, but absolutely critical. It’s about moving beyond simply verifying a document and a face, to understanding the context of the identity, the intent behind the application, and the broader network of activity that might indicate a fraud ring at work.

Building a Fortified Defense

A truly robust solution needs to bridge the gap left by primary digital ID&V checks by providing crucial layers of defense for comprehensive fraud detection and prevention.

Here’s how a comprehensive solution often operates:

  • Intelligent Data Orchestration:
    The first step to catching sophisticated fraud, including fraud rings, is having all the relevant information. A powerful platform seamlessly integrates diverse data sources – beyond just ID&V vendors – including alternative data, traditional credit data, behavioral data, device intelligence, and internal customer history. This holistic view provides the context necessary to spot anomalies and uncover interconnected fraudulent activities.
  • Advanced Machine Learning Models:
    Leveraging this enriched dataset, effective machine learning models are continuously learning and adapting to identify subtle patterns in application data, monitor transaction behavior, and detect suspicious patterns across various fraud types – including the elusive synthetic identity fraud, complex account takeovers, and emergent payment fraud schemes. These ML capabilities are specifically designed to identify anomalies and linkages indicative of fraud rings.
  • Real-Time Decisioning:
    Fraud doesn’t wait, and neither should your detection. A strong platform enables real-time decisioning, allowing businesses to instantly assess risk, approve legitimate applications, or flag suspicious ones for further review, all within milliseconds. This speed is crucial for maintaining a frictionless customer experience while mitigating risk.
  • Customer Profiling and Analytics:
    Beyond the initial check, a comprehensive approach helps build rich customer profiles by consolidating data over time. Analytics tools provide the capabilities to track individual and network behaviors, empowering fraud teams to quickly identify connections and make informed decisions.
  • Flexible Decision Engines:
    The threat landscape is dynamic. A platform’s flexible decision engine should allow businesses to rapidly adjust rules, strategies, and workflows without requiring extensive coding, ensuring they can adapt to new fraud patterns as soon as they emerge.

The Future of Fraud Prevention:
Comprehensive, Not Complacent

Digital ID&V with document capture and selfie verification has its place as an essential first line of defense, offering invaluable speed and convenience. However, in the face of increasingly cunning fraudsters, the proliferation of deepfakes, the continuous threat of data breaches, and the coordinated efforts of fraud rings, relying solely on these methods is akin to leaving the back door open.

The true silver bullet is not a single technology, but a comprehensive, adaptive, and intelligent fraud prevention approach. By integrating diverse data, leveraging advanced machine learning, and enabling real-time, informed decisioning, businesses can build a truly robust defense that catches those who attempt to slip the net, safeguarding their assets and fostering trust in the digital economy.

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The State of AI, Risk, and Fraud in Financial Services

The State of AI, Risk, and Fraud in Financial Services

2025: A Year of Transformation in Risk Decisioning

The financial services industry is facing an inflection point. In 2025 (and beyond), staying ahead isn’t just about managing credit risk and preventing fraud – it’s about leveraging AI, unifying data, and modernizing decisioning systems to unlock new growth opportunities.

To better understand the challenges and priorities shaping the industry worldwide, we surveyed nearly 200 key decision-makers among financial services providers globally. The results highlight a pressing need for AI-driven insights, better data orchestration, and an end to fragmented decisioning strategies. This blog breaks down the key takeaways from the survey results and what they mean for the future of decisioning and your business.

Credit Risk and Fraud Prevention:
The Industry’s Top Concerns

The ability to manage credit risk and prevent fraud effectively remains a top priority, especially in an increasingly complex, digital economy. Forty-nine percent of our respondents identified managing credit risk as their biggest issue, and 48% cited detecting and preventing fraud as a primary concern, a noticeable increase from last year’s survey (43%).

While these issues aren’t new, their growing intensity underscores the fact that traditional approaches to risk decisioning just aren’t sufficient any more. Financial services providers are facing more sophisticated fraud threats, rising economic uncertainty, and increasing regulatory scrutiny – making real-time, AI-driven decisioning more critical than ever.

The escalation of fraud in particular is not shocking. While the industry leverages AI and automation for smarter decisioning, fraudsters are also utilizing advanced tech for more complex schemes, creating a never-ending loop. Identity fraud, deepfake technology, synthetic identities, and account takeovers are evolving – quickly. But at the same time, demanding consumers are pushing for seamless digital experiences, with instant approvals and frictionless onboarding becoming the bare minimum. This sort of demand creates a delicate balancing act – how do you ensure the proper security without adding unnecessary friction to the customer journey?

Providers relying on rule-based fraud detection alone will struggle to keep up. Fraud patterns shift in real-time, and static rules can’t adapt quickly enough. This showcases the urgent need for AI-powered fraud prevention solutions that can analyze behavioral data, detect anomalies, and predict fraud with greater accuracy. And AI-powered fraud detection doesn’t just stop fraud – it can also help reduce false positives, ensuring that legitimate customers aren’t caught in security roadblocks.

On the other side of the coin, managing credit risk has always been central to financial services providers. But economic volatility, including rising interest rates, inflation concerns, and shifting regulatory policies, means lenders must be more accurate than ever when assessing creditworthiness. Traditional credit scoring models often fail to provide a complete picture of a borrower’s risk profile, and without real-time insights, you may be missing out on prime opportunities for upsell/cross-sell and other revenue gains across the customer lifecycle. Not to mention the very real, very present risk of delinquencies and credit losses.

Over 30% of respondents in our survey cited limited data access as a challenge in risk
decisioning. Without access to real-time financial data, alternative credit signals, and behavioral analytics, making inaccurate credit decisions could either expose you to bad debt or cause you to reject creditworthy customers. Or both.

The Need for a Holistic Approach:
Moving Beyond Reactive Risk Management

To effectively combat fraud and manage credit risk, a reactive approach is no longer enough. Instead, you need to embrace a proactive, AI-driven strategy that integrates risk decisioning across the entire customer lifecycle. A successful approach includes:
  • Real-time AI-powered decisioning:

    Instead of relying on static models, consider AI-driven models that continuously learn and adapt to new fraud patterns and credit risks.
  • Integrated fraud and credit risk teams:

    Fraud and credit risk are often managed in separate silos, leading to inefficiencies and missed insights. A unified decisioning approach enables better risk assessment, faster response times, and enhanced customer experiences.
  • Expanding data access and alternative data integration:

    The ability to incorporate real-time transactional data, open banking insights, and behavioral analytics is critical for both fraud prevention and credit risk assessment.
  • Real-time AI-powered decisioning:

    Instead of relying on static models, consider AI-driven models that continuously learn and adapt to new fraud patterns and credit risks.
  • Integrated fraud and credit risk teams:

    Fraud and credit risk are often managed in separate silos, leading to inefficiencies and missed insights. A unified decisioning approach enables better risk assessment, faster response times, and enhanced customer experiences.
  • Expanding data access and alternative data integration:

    The ability to incorporate real-time transactional data, open banking insights, and behavioral analytics is critical for both fraud prevention and credit risk assessment.

The Urgent Need for AI:
Investment Priorities in 2025 and Beyond

Our survey found that 63% of financial services providers plan to invest in AI/embedded intelligence for risk decisioning, making it the top investment priority for 2025. Other key areas include:
  • 52%
    Risk decisioning solutions
  • 42%
    New data sources and orchestration
  • 33%
    Integrated fraud and decisioning solutions

The growing emphasis on AI decisioning reflects a shift from reactive risk management to proactive, real-time decisioning. Financial services providers recognize that AI can enhance credit risk assessments, strengthen fraud detection, and improve operational efficiency—but only if it’s powered by high-quality, integrated data.

While AI adoption is accelerating, poor data integration remains a significant barrier. Without seamless data orchestration, AI models risk being ineffective, leading to missed opportunities and inaccurate decisioning. If you’re investing in AI, you must prioritize data quality and accessibility to ensure these solutions deliver measurable impact.

In 2025, success in AI-driven risk decisioning (and maximizing ROI in AI investments) will depend on not just adopting AI, but implementing it with the right data strategy — one that fuels better insights, faster decisions, and a more seamless customer experience.

The AI Hurdles:
Why Adoption Isn’t as Simple as It Sounds

AI investment may be surging, but nearly 60% of financial services providers still struggle with deploying and maintaining AI risk models. The biggest roadblocks include:
  • 52%
    Data quality and availability
  • 48%
    Initial costs and unclear ROI
  • 47%
    Integration challenges
  • 42%
    Infrastructure requirements
  • 40%
    Regulatory compliance concerns

Implementing AI requires a solid foundation of clean, integrated data, robust infrastructure, and clear governance. The significant data challenge highlights the need for the seamless orchestration of new and alternative data sources (which can be easily integrated into decisioning) to truly unlock AI’s full potential.

One way to ensure success is to start small and scale smartly. To mitigate risk and ensure measurable impact, consider starting with AI projects that offer quick ROI (credit scoring, automated customer decisioning) or may be slightly less regulated (fraud detection). Try a phased approach, focused on early wins, continuous optimization, and scalable infrastructure, in order to build confidence in AI-driven strategies while demonstrating tangible business value.

Breaking Down Silos:
The Shift Towards Unified Decisioning

Disjointed decisioning systems are a major roadblock to efficiency. More than half (59%) of our respondents cited a lack of seamless data flow and unified insights as their biggest challenge. Other key issues include:
  • 52%
    Operational inefficiencies
  • 40%
    Added costs
  • 35%
    Disparate, siloed technology

Slower risk assessments, challenging fraud detection and inconsistent customer experiences are other outcomes from operational inefficiencies – when risk, fraud, and credit teams operate in silos, financial institutions miss out on better collaboration, faster approvals, more accurate risk mitigation, and growth opportunities.

But by consolidating risk decisioning into a single, end-to-end platform, you can:

  • Improve cross-team collaboration between fraud, credit risk, and compliance teams
  • Enable real-time, AI decisioning for faster and more accurate risk assessments
  • Enhance the customer experience by reducing friction and improving approval times
  • Maximize value across the customer lifecycle
  • Optimize growth for long-term success

Real-Time Decisioning and Personalization:
The New Frontier

Instant, frictionless experiences – this is what today’s consumers expect, whether applying for credit, disputing a charge, or managing their accounts. And providers are taking note, with 65% prioritizing real-time, event-driven decisioning as a key focus area. Other top priorities include:
  • 44%
    Eliminating friction across the customer lifecycle
  • 44%
    Increasing customer lifetime value
  • 36%
    Hyper-personalization

Traditional, batch-based decisioning models aren’t enough in an era where customer expectations are shaped by instant approvals and personalized digital interactions. AI-driven decisioning can improve risk assessments, but also enables proactive engagement and tailored offers that drive loyalty and maximize customer value.

To meet evolving consumer demands, adopt real-time, AI-powered decisioning models that ensure a more customer-centric approach, and which can:

  • Adapt dynamically to customer behavior in real time
  • Eliminate unnecessary friction while maintaining strong risk controls
  • Leverage hyper-personalization to increase engagement and lifetime value
Being able to deliver smarter, faster, and more customer-centric experiences with AI and real-time data and insights allows you to strike the right balance between effective risk mitigation and growth and customer retention.

A Call to Action for Financial Institutions

A more modern approach to risk management and fraud prevention is key. With fraud becoming more sophisticated, credit risk remaining a top concern, and AI adoption accelerating, financial services providers must rethink how they assess risk, optimize decisioning, and enhance customer experiences. To stay competitive and resilient in 2025 and beyond, focus on three key areas:
  • Invest in unified decisioning platforms

    to eliminate silos, reduce inefficiencies, and improve risk assessment accuracy
  • Leverage AI strategically

    by focusing on solutions that offer clear ROI and operational impact
  • Prioritize data integration and quality,

    ensuring seamless orchestration of diverse data sources to power more intelligent decisioning

The future of risk decisioning isn’t about isolated fixes—it’s about a holistic, AI-powered approach that aligns data, automation, and decisioning processes to maximize impact. Those that embrace this transformation will be better positioned to mitigate risks, drive growth, and deliver superior customer experiences.

Check out the full survey report for detailed responses.

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Top Mortgage Lending Trends in the UK and Europe

Top Mortgage Lending Trends in the UK and Europe: Smarter Decisioning for a Changing Market

Navigating evolving market conditions, affordability challenges, and AI-driven risk management

The UK mortgage market is poised for a notable rebound in the coming year, with mortgage lending growth projected to double compared to 2023, according to EY. While this signals renewed optimism, lenders are still navigating complex challenges — rising interest rates, affordability constraints, evolving regulatory pressures, and shifting borrower expectations.

Across Europe, mortgage markets are experiencing varying levels of volatility. Some countries, like Germany and the Netherlands, are facing demand fluctuations due to interest rate adjustments, while others, such as France and Spain, are seeing pockets of resilience amid broader economic uncertainty.

So, how can lenders capitalize on growth while managing risk? By embracing advanced credit and fraud risk decisioning, leveraging alternative data, and integrating AI-driven automation, mortgage providers can ensure they remain competitive in a rapidly changing landscape. Here’s what you need to know.

1. Mortgage Market Rebound: Will Growth Be Sustainable?

After recent turbulence, the UK mortgage market is showing early signs of recovery. The latest data from EY forecasts that net mortgage lending will grow from £11bn in 2023 to £22bn — a significant shift fueled by economic stabilization and a potential slowdown in interest rate hikes. However, growth comes with some challenges:

  • Interest rates remain high compared to pre-pandemic levels, affecting affordability.
  • Consumer confidence is still fragile, with borrowers cautious about long-term financial commitments.
  • Regulatory scrutiny is increasing, with the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) pushing for fair lending practices and enhanced risk oversight.
Across Europe, trends vary widely:
  • Germany is experiencing weaker housing demand due to tightening credit conditions.
  • France is navigating a slowdown in new mortgage approvals amid regulatory adjustments.
  • Spain and Portugal are seeing a rise in international buyers, stabilizing demand despite domestic affordability challenges.
What do you need to do? To thrive in this landscape, mortgage providers must improve risk assessment capabilities and adopt more dynamic credit and fraud risk decisioning frameworks that can adjust to market shifts in real time.
2. The Affordability Dilemma: Why Traditional Credit Scoring Isn’t Enough
Affordability remains one of the biggest challenges in the UK mortgage market. While lending volumes are set to increase, many borrowers are still struggling with:
  • High living costs and wage stagnation, which impact disposable income.
  • Stringent mortgage stress tests, making it harder for first-time buyers to qualify.
  • Variable rate mortgages, which are exposing homeowners to fluctuating monthly payments.
Traditional credit scoring models (which are heavily reliant on credit history and debt-to-income ratios) often fail to provide a full picture of a borrower’s financial health. That’s why leading lenders are increasingly turning to alternative data like the following to refine their risk assessments:
  • Open banking data: Real-time income and spending patterns can help assess affordability more accurately.
  • Rental payment history: Demonstrates financial discipline, especially for first-time buyers.
  • Utility and telecom payments: Provides additional insights into payment behaviors and financial stability.

By integrating AI-powered risk decisioning, you can analyze alternative data at scale, leading to more inclusive lending decisions and better default risk prediction.

What do you need to do? Move beyond traditional credit scores by adopting AI-driven analytics and alternative data sources to expand lending opportunities without increasing risk.

3. AI and Automation: The Future of Mortgage Decisioning

With mortgage competition increasing and regulatory expectations rising, you can no longer afford slow, manual credit decisioning processes. AI and automation are becoming essential tools for enhancing speed, accuracy, and compliance.

AI is transforming mortgage lending with:

  • Instant Decisioning – AI models process vast amounts of data in real time, reducing approval times from weeks to minutes.
  • Advanced Fraud Detection – AI-powered anomaly detection helps identify fraudulent applications before loans are approved.
  • Improved Regulatory Compliance – AI ensures fair lending practices by providing explainable decisioning frameworks and reducing bias.

But what’s the competitive advantage to AI Decisioning?

  • Higher Approval Rates: More borrowers qualify for mortgages through personalized risk assessment.
  • Reduced Risk Exposure: Predictive analytics detect high-risk applicants before issues arise.
  • Operational Efficiency: Automating credit checks and underwriting reduces costs and processing times.
What do you need to do? Future-proof your mortgage operations by implementing AI-driven decisioning platforms that enhance efficiency while maintaining compliance with FCA and EU regulatory guidelines.
Building a Smarter Mortgage Lending Strategy

With UK mortgage lending growth set to double and European markets shifting, mortgage providers must evolve their decisioning strategies to remain competitive.

By embracing AI, alternative data, and automated decisioning, you can:

  • Expand access to credit while minimizing default risk.
  • Deliver faster, more seamless customer experiences.
  • Ensure compliance with evolving regulatory standards.

As the mortgage landscape continues to change, the lenders that invest in innovation today will be the market leaders of tomorrow.

Ready to future-proof your mortgage lending strategy? Discover how AI-driven decisioning can help you boost approvals, manage risk, and streamline compliance.

Shape the future of your mortgage strategy with AI.

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BLOG: Unlocking Success in Poland’s Lending Revolution

Thriving Through Change: Unlocking Success in Poland’s Lending Revolution

Adapting to Rising Rates, Evolving Borrower Needs, and the Power of Technology in a Dynamic Market
  • Mark Collingwood
    Vice President, Sales

Poland’s economic landscape is undergoing significant change, with rising inflation and interest rates (as of December 2024, the annual inflation rate increased from 4.7% to 4.8% the month before, indicating persistent inflationary pressures). Likewise, mortgage interest rates are also on the rise, with the average rate in the country reaching 7.16% in late 2024, up from just 2.27% in December of 2022. While this economic shift presents both challenges and opportunities for lenders in Poland, one thing is clear – to navigate this evolving environment successfully, financial services providers must look to innovative and agile approaches that address changing borrower needs while still effectively mitigating risk. In this blog, we’re looking more closely at this shift, and how you can ensure your business thrives amidst uncertainty.

The Impact of Economic Shifts on Lending in Poland

There’s notable turbulence in Poland’s economy, driven by persistently high inflation and elevated interest rates. At the end of last year, inflation remained high, impacting consumer purchasing power and financial stability. And mortgage rates, which have exceeded 7% for many borrowers, adds further strain to household budgets, making lending challenging for both consumers and lenders. With rising costs like this, potential homebuyers are forced to reassess affordability, which then has the domino effect of slowing down the mortgage market and reshaping the overall lending landscape.

On top of economic pressures, the regulatory environment in Poland is tightening its grip to ensure financial stability. The Polish Financial Supervision Authority (KNF) plays a pivotal role, introducing policies to strengthen risk management and promote financial resilience. Some of these initiatives include enhanced creditworthiness assessments and stricter compliance measures, with the aim to mitigate systemic risks while encouraging responsible lending practices.

But these regulations can present operational challenges for lenders. Balancing regulatory compliance with providing accessible, competitive loan products can be tricky – highlighting the importance of both efficiency and innovation in navigating lending in complex economic situations. Collaboration with regulatory bodies, paired with strategic investments in decisioning technology, will be essential for lenders who want to future-proof their lending strategy.

Evolving Borrower Dynamics: Embracing Flexibility and Digital Innovation to Stay Competitive

Borrowers in Poland are increasingly seeking alternative financing solutions that provide greater flexibility and personalization. Traditional, rigid lending structures are out. Instead, driven by consumers’ desire for financial products that align with their own unique needs and circumstances, budget-conscious borrowers are now prioritizing loan options that offer more adaptable terms and personalized services. To meet these shifting demands, you have to embrace the opportunity to develop and offer:

  • Flexible Loan Products: Options like adjustable-rate mortgages and payment holidays help borrowers seeking more adaptable repayment plans.
  • Personalized Financial Solutions: Tailor loan offerings to individual borrower profiles to enhance customer satisfaction and loyalty.
  • Digital Accessibility and User-Friendly Platforms: Invest in intuitive digital platforms, keeping in mind the implementation of the European Accessibility Act (EAA), which mandates accessibility requirements for products and services (including digital interfaces).

How do you accomplish this? By leveraging advanced technologies, especially artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML), to transform your credit assessment and fraud detection processes.

AI-driven systems can process vast amounts of financial data in real time, utilizing advanced ML algorithms to identify patterns and anomalies that indicate a borrower’s potential credit risk. Predictive models can analyze spending behavior, transaction history, and even social media data, enabling more accurate credit risk assessments – and more informed lending decisions.
And when it comes to that ever-present thorn in the side of lenders everywhere, fraud, AI/ML offers critical help. Analyzing extensive datasets quickly allows these systems to detect unusual patterns and behaviours that can signal fraudulent activity, allowing for prompt intervention. Fraud detection strategies that incorporate AI have even been shown to improve accuracy in distinguishing between human errors and genuine fraud attempts, reducing unnecessary interventions and false alarms (and saving you time and people-power in the process).

Using advanced technologies like AI/ML is helping to drive digital transformation in lending, and allows for more customer-centric processes:

  • Adoption Rates: Poland is leading central Europe’s digital transformation, with many financial institutions having invested in digital transformation initiatives, recognizing the importance of digital transformation and reflecting a commitment to modernizing operations and enhancing service delivery.
  • Rise of Digital Banking: Digital banking has become the primary channel for financial transactions for many Poles. In 2024, online banking penetration in Poland reached 65%.
  • Successful Digital Lending Initiatives: Poland has witnessed the emergence of innovative digital lending platforms that streamline the borrowing process. For instance, the mobile payment system BLIK allows users to make instant payments and withdraw cash using their standard mobile banking app, enhancing the efficiency and convenience of financial transactions.
  • Streamlining Loan Applications and Approvals: The adoption of AI and digital platforms has revolutionized the loan application process. Automated systems enable quicker approvals by efficiently analyzing applicant data, reducing the time from application to disbursement.
  • Building Trust and Engagement: User-friendly digital platforms enhance customer experience, fostering trust and engagement. Features like personalized dashboards, real-time notifications, and responsive customer service contribute to higher customer satisfaction and loyalty.

Embracing strategies like these will allow you to position yourselves more competitively – all while you enhance operational efficiency, improve risk management, and deliver superior customer experiences.

Riding the Risk Wave: Smart Strategies for Lending Success in Poland

The strain that high inflation and interest rates places on borrowers increases the risk of loan defaults, whether those loans are mortgages or otherwise. When things are shifting, reactive strategies are no longer sufficient. But adopting a more proactive risk management approach, powered by advanced technologies and strategic partnerships, can help you get (and stay) ahead of these pressures:

  • Strengthen Borrower Assessments

    Enhance underwriting processes by integrating AI-driven tools that evaluate real-time borrower data for more accurate risk profiling.
  • Offer Flexible Repayment Options

    Payment holidays or loan restructuring options can support borrowers facing temporary financial challenges, helping to prevent defaults.
  • Adopt Early Warning Systems

    Proactive monitoring of repayment behaviors can flag potential issues early, allowing for timely interventions and tailored borrower support.
  • Real-Time Analytics and Predictive Modelling

    Tools like Provenir’s AI Decisioning platform empower lenders with the ability to analyze data streams in real-time, identify emerging risks, and predict future trends. This enables precise adjustments to lending strategies before problems escalate.

  • Balance Growth with Risk Mitigation

    Sustainable growth requires a dual focus on expanding lending portfolios while maintaining robust risk controls. Leveraging predictive analytics ensures lenders can scale responsibly without exposing themselves to unnecessary risks.

  • Partner With Technology Providers

    Partnerships with tech companies drive innovation, offering solutions for automating credit assessments, fraud detection, and compliance processes.
  • Regulatory Collaboration

    Working with regulatory bodies, such as the Polish Financial Supervision Authority (KNF), ensures compliance with evolving rules and builds trust with stakeholders.
Managing risk in Poland’s uncertain lending environment requires lenders to stay ahead of challenges through innovation, collaboration, and proactive strategies. By leveraging real-time analytics, fostering partnerships, and aligning with regulatory frameworks, lenders can strike the delicate balance between growth and risk mitigation, ensuring long-term success in an ever-changing market.

compliance icon

KNF Initiatives

The KNF is spearheading efforts to enhance Poland’s financial infrastructure, ensuring the industry can adapt to current challenges:

  • Digital Infrastructure Improvements: Investments in digital infrastructure, including secure data-sharing platforms, streamline operations and improve resilience.
  • Data-Sharing Frameworks: By encouraging transparency and collaboration among financial institutions, KNF initiatives reduce risks while fostering a culture of shared accountability.

Rising to the Occasion: Lending Strategies for Poland’s Future

There is a lot of positivity on the horizon for Poland – the outlook for 2025 is strong, with the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) projecting a GDP growth rate of 2.4%. This expansion will help invigorate the lending market, and the country’s digital economy is already on a rapid ascent, thanks to the widespread adoption of e-commerce, mobile payments, and online banking tech. The digital economy is predicted to reach $87 billion this year, and over $130 billion by 2030. With a tech-savvy population that is increasingly looking for innovative financial solutions, the runway of opportunity for lenders that adapt to these preferences is long and healthy.

To fully take advantage of what digital transformation in Poland has to offer, consider these strategies:

  • Stay Agile in Adapting to Economic and Regulatory Changes:
    The dynamic nature of Poland’s economy and regulatory environment means you need to remain flexible and responsive. Implementing adaptive business models and staying informed about policy shifts are crucial for sustained success.
  • Leverage Technology to Prioritize Customer Needs and Experiences:
    Embracing digital tools can enhance customer interactions and streamline operations. For instance, the rise of neobanking in Poland is projected to grow by 10.86% between 2025 and 2028, reaching a market volume of $35.82 billion by 2028.
    This trend underscores the importance of digital accessibility and user-friendly platforms in meeting customer expectations.
  • Develop Sustainable, Customer-Focused Lending Practices:
    Offering personalized financial products that cater to individual borrower profiles can foster customer loyalty and drive growth. Flexible loan options and transparent communication are key components of a customer-centric approach.

Poland’s lending market presents a challenging yet promising landscape. Lenders who embrace digital transformation, proactively manage risk, and prioritize borrower-centric innovation will not only navigate economic uncertainties but also seize opportunities for growth. One of the best measures of future-proofing success? The right technology partner.

Provenir’s AI Decisioning platform is uniquely positioned to empower lenders in Poland to thrive in this dynamic environment. By harnessing the power of AI and machine learning, our platform enhances fraud detection, streamlines credit risk assessment, and delivers real-time insights to help you make faster, more informed decisions.

Discover how our AI decisioning platform can help you drive operational efficiency, mitigate risk, and foster stronger customer relationships.

Learn More

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BLOG: Shaping the Future of Decisioning

Shaping the Future of Decisioning: How These Leading Financial Services Providers are Making Bold Moves to Win Big with AI

The use of artificial intelligence (AI) has changed the entire world, in both big and small ways. Financial services is now increasingly looking to AI when it comes to risk decisioning – everything from whether to approve a loan application or increase a credit limit to fundamental decisions on whether a ‘customer’ is a fraud or not. Whether you are looking to streamline credit evaluations or improve customer experiences, the results are clear – big wins happen when organizations are ready to make bold moves in their adoption of AI. Harnessing the power of AI allows you to achieve measurable gains in efficiency, accuracy, and agility – and shape the future of decisioning. We’re looking at ten financial services providers around the globe who are leveraging AI to transform their operations, mitigate risks, and deliver exceptional value to their customers.

commbank

Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA)

An Australian multinational bank, CBA is one of the leading banks in the region, serving more than 17 million customers. With a recent mammoth investment in advanced tech (the bank spends about $1 billion per year on growth-focused technology), CBA has integrated AI across various operations including fraud detection and customer service. They are using it to resolve 15,000 payment disputes lodged by customers every day (reducing call center waits by 40%), and in some cases have reduced the time it takes to approve small business loans to under ten minutes thanks to AI.

jpmorganchase

JPMorganChase

Serving millions of customers in over 100 global markets for more than 200 years, JPMorganChase has long been on the cutting-edge of using tech in its business. Now, the company is using an advanced AI system to automate key aspects of the loan approval process, using machine learning to analyze various data points to enhance the speed and accuracy of credit assessments. Overall, the company is focused on using AI for a variety of efficiencies across the business, with chief executive Jamie Dimon claiming AI tech could cut the working week to only 3 ½ days.

bank of america

Bank of America

One of the world’s leading financial institutions, Bank of America serves everyone from individuals and small businesses to massive corporations and governments with a full range of banking and investment products and services. Recently, it has invested over $3 billion in Generative AI capabilities to enhance operations, and its AI-powered fraud detection system has been able to reduce credit card fraud losses by 45% (which translated to an estimated $500 million saved in 2024 alone).

bmo

BMO

As part of Canada’s tightly controlled banking landscape, BMO is one of the country’s top financial institutions (and the 8th largest bank in North America by assets), offering 13 million customers a variety of products and services. BMO has been utilizing AI to improve report creation times and operational efficiency, recognizing streamlined processes with improvement to revenue and significant cost savings. The use of AI has been able to reduce manual effort on BMO’s equities team from more than four hours a day to less than one, freeing up time for more strategic tasks.

Schroders Capital

Schroders Capital

UK-based Schroders Capital is the private markets investment division of Schroders, with $97 billion in assets under management across private equity, private debt, and more. In 2024 they announced the launch of their Generative AI Investment Analyst (GAiiA) platform, aimed at improving accuracy and speeding up analysis of large volumes of data, and allowing their investment specialists to focus more strategically on delivering value to clients.

capital one

Capital One

Known for revolutionizing the credit card industry with data and tech, Capital One is one of the most recognized banking brands, serving over 100 million customers in a variety of locations. And now, they are also leading in AI adoption among large banks in the Americas and Europe. Their significant investments in AI help them understand customers’ needs and have greatly enhanced their decision-making processes. They are also using AI for real-time fraud prevention and detection, using advanced algorithms to handle evolving fraud threats and reduce false positives.

itau

Itaú Unibanco

As the largest bank in Brazil, Itau Unibanco has been at the forefront of digital transformation in the region, investing heavily in AI to enhance customer service and operational efficiency. In using AI, they have been able to personalize customer interactions, improve credit scoring, and enhance fraud detection and prevention, resulting in robust financial performance and their continued market dominance.

Santander

Santander Bank

One of the largest financial institutions globally, Santander Group features over 170 million customers in Europe and the Americas, 3.5 million shareholders, and over 200,000 employees. Faced with the threat of rising loan defaults, Santander has adopted a more proactive approach with the use of AI-powered predictive analytics. Using AI models that digest a combination of historical data and real-time account monitoring, they are able to identify and intervene earlier, offer tailored advice to customers, and optimize their resource allocation for improved efficiency.

dbs

DBS Bank

Based in Singapore, DBS Bank is a multinational organization, and one of the largest banks in Asia, with over 40,000 employees in 19 markets. Widely recognized for their digital transformation efforts, DBS Bank is using AI for credit risk assessment, personalized marketing, and enhanced customer service experiences through the use of AI-powered virtual assistants. With their AI-driven strategies, they have improved customer satisfaction and increased operational efficiency, contributing to their reputation as a market leader.

cimb

CIMB

Malaysia-headquartered CIMB is actively incorporating AI into its banking services, using advanced analytics and machine learning models for credit scoring, fraud detection, and chatbots for enhanced customer engagement. Thanks to AI, CIMB (the fifth largest banking group in ASEAN with over 26 million customers, and a world leader in Islamic finance) has been able to make more accurate credit assessments and improve fraud detection rates across a variety of business lines.

Whether you are looking for faster, more accurate credit assessment, the ability to better keep up with evolving fraud threats, or the capability to offer more personalized, tailored experiences for your customers, AI is what is going to get you there. The organizations highlighted here are just some of the companies leading the way, demonstrating how leveraging AI decisioning is a necessity for future-proofing your growth. With Provenir’s AI Decisioning Platform, financial services providers can leverage advanced analytics, machine learning, and real-time insights to make faster, more accurate decisions across the entire customer lifecycle. It can be daunting to think about implementing AI, but there are immediate steps you can take now to start taking advantage of the opportunities AI offers.

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