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Industry: Fraud

The State of AI, Risk, and Fraud in Financial Services

The State of AI, Risk, and Fraud in Financial Services

2025: A Year of Transformation in Risk Decisioning

The financial services industry is facing an inflection point. In 2025 (and beyond), staying ahead isn’t just about managing credit risk and preventing fraud – it’s about leveraging AI, unifying data, and modernizing decisioning systems to unlock new growth opportunities.

To better understand the challenges and priorities shaping the industry worldwide, we surveyed nearly 200 key decision-makers among financial services providers globally. The results highlight a pressing need for AI-driven insights, better data orchestration, and an end to fragmented decisioning strategies. This blog breaks down the key takeaways from the survey results and what they mean for the future of decisioning and your business.

Credit Risk and Fraud Prevention:
The Industry’s Top Concerns

The ability to manage credit risk and prevent fraud effectively remains a top priority, especially in an increasingly complex, digital economy. Forty-nine percent of our respondents identified managing credit risk as their biggest issue, and 48% cited detecting and preventing fraud as a primary concern, a noticeable increase from last year’s survey (43%).

While these issues aren’t new, their growing intensity underscores the fact that traditional approaches to risk decisioning just aren’t sufficient any more. Financial services providers are facing more sophisticated fraud threats, rising economic uncertainty, and increasing regulatory scrutiny – making real-time, AI-driven decisioning more critical than ever.

The escalation of fraud in particular is not shocking. While the industry leverages AI and automation for smarter decisioning, fraudsters are also utilizing advanced tech for more complex schemes, creating a never-ending loop. Identity fraud, deepfake technology, synthetic identities, and account takeovers are evolving – quickly. But at the same time, demanding consumers are pushing for seamless digital experiences, with instant approvals and frictionless onboarding becoming the bare minimum. This sort of demand creates a delicate balancing act – how do you ensure the proper security without adding unnecessary friction to the customer journey?

Providers relying on rule-based fraud detection alone will struggle to keep up. Fraud patterns shift in real-time, and static rules can’t adapt quickly enough. This showcases the urgent need for AI-powered fraud prevention solutions that can analyze behavioral data, detect anomalies, and predict fraud with greater accuracy. And AI-powered fraud detection doesn’t just stop fraud – it can also help reduce false positives, ensuring that legitimate customers aren’t caught in security roadblocks.

On the other side of the coin, managing credit risk has always been central to financial services providers. But economic volatility, including rising interest rates, inflation concerns, and shifting regulatory policies, means lenders must be more accurate than ever when assessing creditworthiness. Traditional credit scoring models often fail to provide a complete picture of a borrower’s risk profile, and without real-time insights, you may be missing out on prime opportunities for upsell/cross-sell and other revenue gains across the customer lifecycle. Not to mention the very real, very present risk of delinquencies and credit losses.

Over 30% of respondents in our survey cited limited data access as a challenge in risk
decisioning. Without access to real-time financial data, alternative credit signals, and behavioral analytics, making inaccurate credit decisions could either expose you to bad debt or cause you to reject creditworthy customers. Or both.

The Need for a Holistic Approach:
Moving Beyond Reactive Risk Management

To effectively combat fraud and manage credit risk, a reactive approach is no longer enough. Instead, you need to embrace a proactive, AI-driven strategy that integrates risk decisioning across the entire customer lifecycle. A successful approach includes:
  • Real-time AI-powered decisioning:

    Instead of relying on static models, consider AI-driven models that continuously learn and adapt to new fraud patterns and credit risks.
  • Integrated fraud and credit risk teams:

    Fraud and credit risk are often managed in separate silos, leading to inefficiencies and missed insights. A unified decisioning approach enables better risk assessment, faster response times, and enhanced customer experiences.
  • Expanding data access and alternative data integration:

    The ability to incorporate real-time transactional data, open banking insights, and behavioral analytics is critical for both fraud prevention and credit risk assessment.
  • Real-time AI-powered decisioning:

    Instead of relying on static models, consider AI-driven models that continuously learn and adapt to new fraud patterns and credit risks.
  • Integrated fraud and credit risk teams:

    Fraud and credit risk are often managed in separate silos, leading to inefficiencies and missed insights. A unified decisioning approach enables better risk assessment, faster response times, and enhanced customer experiences.
  • Expanding data access and alternative data integration:

    The ability to incorporate real-time transactional data, open banking insights, and behavioral analytics is critical for both fraud prevention and credit risk assessment.

The Urgent Need for AI:
Investment Priorities in 2025 and Beyond

Our survey found that 63% of financial services providers plan to invest in AI/embedded intelligence for risk decisioning, making it the top investment priority for 2025. Other key areas include:
  • 52%
    Risk decisioning solutions
  • 42%
    New data sources and orchestration
  • 33%
    Integrated fraud and decisioning solutions

The growing emphasis on AI decisioning reflects a shift from reactive risk management to proactive, real-time decisioning. Financial services providers recognize that AI can enhance credit risk assessments, strengthen fraud detection, and improve operational efficiency—but only if it’s powered by high-quality, integrated data.

While AI adoption is accelerating, poor data integration remains a significant barrier. Without seamless data orchestration, AI models risk being ineffective, leading to missed opportunities and inaccurate decisioning. If you’re investing in AI, you must prioritize data quality and accessibility to ensure these solutions deliver measurable impact.

In 2025, success in AI-driven risk decisioning (and maximizing ROI in AI investments) will depend on not just adopting AI, but implementing it with the right data strategy — one that fuels better insights, faster decisions, and a more seamless customer experience.

The AI Hurdles:
Why Adoption Isn’t as Simple as It Sounds

AI investment may be surging, but nearly 60% of financial services providers still struggle with deploying and maintaining AI risk models. The biggest roadblocks include:
  • 52%
    Data quality and availability
  • 48%
    Initial costs and unclear ROI
  • 47%
    Integration challenges
  • 42%
    Infrastructure requirements
  • 40%
    Regulatory compliance concerns

Implementing AI requires a solid foundation of clean, integrated data, robust infrastructure, and clear governance. The significant data challenge highlights the need for the seamless orchestration of new and alternative data sources (which can be easily integrated into decisioning) to truly unlock AI’s full potential.

One way to ensure success is to start small and scale smartly. To mitigate risk and ensure measurable impact, consider starting with AI projects that offer quick ROI (credit scoring, automated customer decisioning) or may be slightly less regulated (fraud detection). Try a phased approach, focused on early wins, continuous optimization, and scalable infrastructure, in order to build confidence in AI-driven strategies while demonstrating tangible business value.

Breaking Down Silos:
The Shift Towards Unified Decisioning

Disjointed decisioning systems are a major roadblock to efficiency. More than half (59%) of our respondents cited a lack of seamless data flow and unified insights as their biggest challenge. Other key issues include:
  • 52%
    Operational inefficiencies
  • 40%
    Added costs
  • 35%
    Disparate, siloed technology

Slower risk assessments, challenging fraud detection and inconsistent customer experiences are other outcomes from operational inefficiencies – when risk, fraud, and credit teams operate in silos, financial institutions miss out on better collaboration, faster approvals, more accurate risk mitigation, and growth opportunities.

But by consolidating risk decisioning into a single, end-to-end platform, you can:

  • Improve cross-team collaboration between fraud, credit risk, and compliance teams
  • Enable real-time, AI decisioning for faster and more accurate risk assessments
  • Enhance the customer experience by reducing friction and improving approval times
  • Maximize value across the customer lifecycle
  • Optimize growth for long-term success

Real-Time Decisioning and Personalization:
The New Frontier

Instant, frictionless experiences – this is what today’s consumers expect, whether applying for credit, disputing a charge, or managing their accounts. And providers are taking note, with 65% prioritizing real-time, event-driven decisioning as a key focus area. Other top priorities include:
  • 44%
    Eliminating friction across the customer lifecycle
  • 44%
    Increasing customer lifetime value
  • 36%
    Hyper-personalization

Traditional, batch-based decisioning models aren’t enough in an era where customer expectations are shaped by instant approvals and personalized digital interactions. AI-driven decisioning can improve risk assessments, but also enables proactive engagement and tailored offers that drive loyalty and maximize customer value.

To meet evolving consumer demands, adopt real-time, AI-powered decisioning models that ensure a more customer-centric approach, and which can:

  • Adapt dynamically to customer behavior in real time
  • Eliminate unnecessary friction while maintaining strong risk controls
  • Leverage hyper-personalization to increase engagement and lifetime value
Being able to deliver smarter, faster, and more customer-centric experiences with AI and real-time data and insights allows you to strike the right balance between effective risk mitigation and growth and customer retention.

A Call to Action for Financial Institutions

A more modern approach to risk management and fraud prevention is key. With fraud becoming more sophisticated, credit risk remaining a top concern, and AI adoption accelerating, financial services providers must rethink how they assess risk, optimize decisioning, and enhance customer experiences. To stay competitive and resilient in 2025 and beyond, focus on three key areas:
  • Invest in unified decisioning platforms

    to eliminate silos, reduce inefficiencies, and improve risk assessment accuracy
  • Leverage AI strategically

    by focusing on solutions that offer clear ROI and operational impact
  • Prioritize data integration and quality,

    ensuring seamless orchestration of diverse data sources to power more intelligent decisioning

The future of risk decisioning isn’t about isolated fixes—it’s about a holistic, AI-powered approach that aligns data, automation, and decisioning processes to maximize impact. Those that embrace this transformation will be better positioned to mitigate risks, drive growth, and deliver superior customer experiences.

Check out the full survey report for detailed responses.

Ready to shape the future of your decisioning with AI?

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Exclusive Event: Smarter Strategies for Card Issuers

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Smarter Strategies for Card Issuers:
How to Navigate Risk, Fraud, and Portfolio Performance with Advanced Analytics

Join us live in Wilmington for cocktails and conversation

March 26th, 4:30 – 6:30pm
Tonic Seafood & Steak, Wilmington, DE

Join us for an exclusive Cocktail Hour & Discussion on March 26th in Wilmington, designed for credit card issuers and financial services providers in the area. This intimate networking event offers a unique opportunity to connect with industry peers, exchange insights, and explore innovative strategies to navigate today’s evolving risk landscape.

Amid shifting market conditions—including decreasing mortgage rates and the challenge of managing high-interest receivables—card issuers must continuously refine their approach to fraud prevention, portfolio management, and collections. But it’s not always easy to do – in our recent survey of nearly 200 key financial services decision makers, nearly 60% of respondents said it was difficult to deploy and maintain their risk decisioning models and over half said being able to easily integrate data sources into decisioning processes is their biggest data challenge.

In a short presentation followed by an interactive discussion, Provenir will highlight how advanced analytics, data orchestration, and AI-driven decisioning can empower issuers to:

  • Enhance fraud detection and prevention through better data integration and real-time decisioning (nearly 50% of our respondents said that managing credit risk and detecting/preventing fraud are their biggest challenges)
  • Optimize portfolio management by balancing performance ratios and mitigating balance attrition
  • Get ahead of delinquencies with predictive insights and proactive risk strategies

Whether you’re looking to strengthen fraud defenses, improve customer lifecycle management, or maximize portfolio profitability, this discussion will offer actionable takeaways to help future-proof your credit card business and provide key guidance on how to deploy advanced analytics in your business.

Enjoy curated cocktails, thought-provoking conversation, and an evening of valuable industry connections. Space is limited—reserve your spot today!

Register your interest here

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DATA SHEET: Fraud for Telco

Provenir: Application Fraud for Telcos

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Discover how Provenir’s AI Decisioning can transform your telco business.

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NEWS: 2025 New Global Survey

New Global Survey Shows Nearly Half of Financial Services Executives Struggling to Manage Credit Risk and Detect and Prevent Fraud

AI is playing a prominent role in the revamp of credit risk decisioning
and fraud prevention strategies in 2025

Parsippany, NJ – February 12, 2025 – A new survey shows nearly half of all financial services executives are struggling with managing credit risk and detecting and preventing fraud. The survey also shows many are revamping their credit risk decisioning and fraud prevention strategies in 2025, with AI playing a prominent role.

These are among the key findings from the survey of nearly 200 key decision makers at financial services providers globally to understand their risk decisioning and fraud challenges across the customer lifecycle, decisioning investment priorities, and AI opportunities. The survey was conducted by Provenir, a global leader in AI Decisioning solutions.

Over half of all respondents plan to invest in risk decisioning solutions and AI/embedded intelligence in 2025 and beyond. At present, nearly 60% of respondents say they find it difficult to deploy and maintain risk decisioning models. 55% of executives recognize the value of AI to make streamlined strategy decisions, and in its ability to provide AI-powered performance improvement recommendations, and 53% see the value in the ability to automatically tune models to make better, more accurate decisions.

Key priorities for customer and account management are real-time, event-driven decisioning (65%), eliminating friction across the customer lifecycle (44%), and increasing customer lifetime value (44%).

Over half of respondents agree the biggest data challenge they face is being able to easily integrate data sources into decisioning processes.

Survey insights also reveal the pitfalls of operating multiple decisioning systems across the customer lifecycle. 59% of respondents say this is causing a lack of seamless data flow and unified insights, while 52% say it creates operational inefficiencies. Additionally, 28% said it contributes to an inconsistent customer experience.

When asked about data and fraud, 37% say they struggle with effective data orchestration for application fraud prevention, specifically in not being able to easily ingest and integrate new data sources, while 36% are challenged in using AI and machine learning for fraud prevention. Nearly one-third of respondents agree that the most important aspect for comprehensive fraud strategies is the ability to break down data silos between fraud and credit risk teams.

“Financial institutions are keenly aware of today’s increasingly complex threat landscape and must adopt new approaches for improved risk decisioning and fraud prevention across the customer lifecycle while providing frictionless and personalized customer experiences,” said Carol Hamilton, Chief Product Officer, Provenir. “With an AI decisioning platform more closely aligning credit and fraud risk teams, financial services executives can ensure holistic, end-to-end decisioning with a complete view of customers across the entire lifecycle.”

The survey was conducted November-December 2024; respondents were based in North America, EMEA, Latin America and Asia Pacific, holding the titles of manager, director, vice president, or above.

The full report of the survey findings can be found here.

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Chartis Research Executive Brief Details Provenir ‘Best-in-Class’ Capabilities for Credit Risk and Fraud Mitigation

With the convergence of credit and fraud as a business function, automation and advanced technologies are paramount for holistic decisioning at speed and scale

Parsippany, NJ – January 22, 2025 – As financial institutions endeavor to balance risk with opportunity across credit, fraud, and identity/compliance, a new executive brief from Chartis Research details the most crucial technology capabilities to address key and emerging credit decisioning use cases.

Organizations must verify identity quicker, detect fraud earlier, and make more accurate credit decisions overall. The Chartis Research brief outlines key requirements for “best-in-class” decisioning, including the application of Machine Learning and AI, automation in vital areas such as Know Your Customer (KYC), and real-time fraud alerts. The importance of cross-institutional data sharing and data-driven identity verification and scoring for real-time risk assessment and synthetic ID fraud detection are also emphasized as key capabilities.

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“Chartis considers Provenir to be a global leader in software and services, providing top-tier RegTech and risk products to financial institutions across the globe,” said Anish Shah, Research Director at Chartis Research. “Provenir exhibits best-in-class capabilities nearly across the board, with comprehensive solutions for credit risk decisioning, credit monitoring, credit risk management, credit portfolio management, identity verification and fraud and ID monitoring and management. The company’s adoption of such advanced technologies as AI and ML has enabled it to provide an industry leading automated workflow framework that addresses the market challenges around credit and fraud risks. It also provides a robust analytical framework that allows financial institutions to analyze data and make timely decisions in real time. The fact that Provenir delivers on both these fronts is distinctive.

“Due to the highly configurable nature of its platform, Provenir empowers clients across a range of industries, including payments, banking, digital banking, small and midsize enterprise (SME) lending, credit unions, FinTech, telecom, auto financing, buy now, pay later (BNPL), consumer lending, credit cards and embedded finance.”

“As the financial services landscape evolves, it is clear that combining credit and fraud management is no longer a choice but a necessity,” said Carol Hamilton, Chief Product Officer for Provenir. “Provenir’s AI Decisioning Platform empowers institutions globally to streamline operations, combat fraud, and drive better business outcomes. By leveraging cutting-edge AI and Machine Learning technologies, Provenir enables organizations to make smarter, faster, and more accurate decisions, driving success in an increasingly complex and regulated market.”

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The full report, which details the convergence of credit and fraud, industry trends, and an overview of Provenir’s AI Decisioning Platform, can be downloaded here.

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Discover how we can help you drive seamless onboarding, real-time decisioning, better fraud prevention, and holistic risk management.

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Three Steps to Fight Telco Fraud

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Minimize Risk, Maximize Activations:
Three Steps to Fighting Telco Fraud

Do you have billions of dollars to spare?
If not, keep reading.

Telecommunications (telco) operators lose an estimated $40 billion to fraudsters each year, and it’s getting worse.

Last year, telco fraud increased 12%, worth an additional $38.95 billion lost and with the rising cost of handsets, fraudsters are getting away with higher value products and services. It’s becoming harder than ever to identify fraudulent behavior as it becomes more complex – there are more than 200 types of fraud within the telco industry alone. The problem clearly isn’t going away any time soon.

telco icon

SIM swapping:

Where attackers manipulate providers’ security protocols to hijack users’ phone numbers, allowing unauthorized access to sensitive personal data and financial accounts.

But don’t throw up your hands in defeat just yet! Telcos can fight back with three highly effective tactics that together can reduce bad debt up to 69%. Just use the three As:
  • Access
  • Analyze
  • Action
At the core of it all? Another A: alternative data. Feeding alternative data into each step of the fraud mitigation process is the key to recapturing billions in annual losses.
  • Access

    The first step to fighting fraud is Access – accessing data, including alternative data, provides more thorough information for fraud and KYC checks during the activation processes.

    A common kind of fraud at this stage of the customer lifecycle is subscription fraud, which can be very costly. Fraudsters use stolen IDs and credit card information to create accounts, buy expensive handsets, and either pocket the free merchandise or resell it. If the criminal is purchasing a state-of-the-art smartphone, that’s potentially thousands in lost revenue from a single scheme.

    Access to a deep well of traditional and alternative data sources empowers you to identify even the most subtle abnormalities during fraud and KYC checks at onboarding. For example, synthetic IDs are commonly used by fraudsters to open accounts, which can be difficult to catch, since synthetic IDs use some legitimate elements to fly under the radar. Alternative data can give you the clues you need to spot fraud, even in cases like this. Check the email to see if there are any minor changes or see if the geolocation matches social media activity.

  • Analyze

    Step two is Analyze: accurately analyze all the data you’ve accessed. And don’t just analyze it the old fashioned way – integrate embedded intelligence like machine learning and AI into your analytics.

    Say a phishing victim has had their phone breached and the criminal has text forwarding activated so they can receive a security code. AI/ML analysis of mobile data could alert a risk team that texts are being forwarded, and suggest further checks be performed.

    Tactics like account takeover can cause damage even after onboarding. Imagine having to catch tiny inconsistencies for hundreds of thousands of subscribers throughout the entire lifecycle all on your own. It can be a challenge for legacy decisioning solutions to identify complex fraud indicators.

    Having smart, automated technology that can pick out unusual data and analyze it quickly and accurately will make the difference for both new and active subscribers. Machine learning and AI gets smarter as it analyzes data and behavior, getting better at recognizing fraudulent patterns that would have otherwise been overlooked.

    Optimize your fraud process with machine learning and AI technology that can analyze any kind of data and improves its accuracy with each analysis.

  • Action

    The final step to help you stop fraud is Action: when you have accessed all the traditional and alternative data you need and AI/ML has analyzed it, you are ready to decision.

    If the first layer of checks don’t yet paint a clear picture of the legitimacy of a subscriber, your decisioning solution can look deeper into the data for further analysis. Depending on your model, you might instead offer them a plan for high-risk subscribers, or reject them outright. If everything checks out, on the other hand, your decisioning engine would then approve and onboard.

    Advanced decisioning uses all of the data you’ve gathered to make the most accurate decisions- that protect you against fraud. It improves efficiency and saves you money by performing only necessary checks – you never have to take a one-size-fits-all approach.

    Once decisions are made, the outcomes are fed back into the platform, adding even more valuable data and analysis to help the AI/ML technology guide your decisioning to more accurate decisions in the future.

icon-globe

International Revenue Share Fund (IRSF):

Involves the exploitation of premium-rate numbers to generate large call volumes and siphon profits – with impacts extended beyond financial losses to include damaged customer trust and brand reputation, and increased operational costs.
We’ve seen some examples of how alternative data can fuel a decisioning engine to fight fraud, but what is it exactly? Check out the top three things telcos should know about this powerful tool.

Part 2:
Three Things Telcos Should Know About Alternative Data

The financial landscape is vast, especially at a global scale. Telco spans that landscape, as wireless services and products like handsets and modems are in high-demand among people from all financial backgrounds. To reach them, you can’t only rely on traditional data like credit scores to determine risk of default. Collecting and using alternative data can help you impact countless lives, tapping into an enormous worldwide market.
  • 1. What is alt data?

    It’s not data that wears eyeliner and plays guitar – it’s a powerful tool for financial inclusion.

    Simply put, alternative data is all the information not maintained by credit bureaus that can paint a more holistic picture of a person’s financial health and overall risk. It can include financial information like rent, utility, or even telco payments, but also analyzes other information like social media activity, geolocation, and property records.

    Alternative data can tell a more complete story than traditional data alone. There are nearly 30 million “credit invisibles” in the US and close to another 10 million in Canada, joined by 70% of Latin America’s population, 70% of Southeast Asia’s, and almost one quarter of the entire world – there are nearly 1.4 billion people without banking or credit history. That’s an awful lot of people who wouldn’t be qualified to open a telco account via traditional methods alone.

    And while credit scores have proven to be strong indicators of whether someone will pay their bills on time, doesn’t it make sense to actually take into consideration utility and other recurring payment patterns to predict the same behavior for telco? Over 90% of Americans make payments on financed mobile phones, but only 2.5% of consumer credit bureau files contain telco payment information. While you might have the payment records for your own subscribers, being able to access that information for those looking to switch operators would be a reliable way to determine risk. Layering in utility data on top of credit scores gives you highly relevant insights to provide even stronger indicators of risk.

    Telco, utility, and lease/property information is often highly indicative of credit trustworthiness but just isn’t considered by credit bureaus. That’s why alternative data is so powerful.

  • 2. How to pull alt data?

    Telcos can access alternative data through public records, along with any data partners you might have integrated into your decisioning solution. These data partners could share social media activity, employment information, and more – what you can access all dependent on your region’s compliance rules and regulations around credit decisioning.

    While this information may not have as direct a correlation with credit trustworthiness, it can give you a fuller picture of someone’s lifestyle. Social media, for instance, can be a very enlightening source of alternative data, giving you insight into activities and habits that may be relevant. As more social media companies begin to offer embedded payment options on their platforms, someone’s Instagram profile could provide you with a look into their transactional behavior. Understanding how often a person shops on Instagram, how expensive the items they buy are, and if these purchases relate to the timeliness of their bill payments could be helpful ways to analyze this behavior.

    Make sure you have access to data integrations and partners that will offer you the widest lens within the required parameters to look at subscribers in order to get the best results from alternative data. Choosing technology that can accelerate partner integration and alternative data access will guarantee rapid ROI, connecting you with more subscribers, faster.

  • 3. Does alt data work?

    Yes! Credit scores may not necessarily reflect a person’s current financial health, as the score heavily weighs past credit behavior in addition to current behavior. Even if someone is very responsible in the present, bad decisions from their past could still negatively affect their credit. If you ran that person’s profile through your traditional decisioning process, they might get flagged as high risk, leading to an inaccurate assessment. The same would be true of someone who never had access to credit due to past financial status or discriminatory lending practices. Alternative data solves that problem.

    And there’s evidence to support it: 64% of lenders/credit providers that use alternative data see improved risk assessment, 48% have an increase in offer acceptance, and 64% see tangible benefits within one year of implementation. Other benefits include improved decisioning accuracy, better fraud protection, greater financial inclusion, faster speed-to-market, rapid onboarding, and overall maximized value.

    We’re living in an era where information is as accessible as it’s ever been – it’s time to use it. The telco industry is at the forefront of innovation, so why keep assessing creditworthiness the same way we did decades ago? When you integrate alternative data into your decisioning, you’re making the world even bigger for millions of people who need telco services and inviting in low-risk subscribers that will accelerate your growth.

Where does intelligent risk decisioning come in?

Intelligent, holistic risk decisioning solutions can play a pivotal role in empowering telco providers to combat fraud effectively. By leveraging real-time data integration (ahem, the three As already covered) and machine learning, these advanced fraud solutions can analyze vast amounts of data from multiple sources at every stage of the customer journey. This enables you to ensure that fraudulent activities are detected and prevented before they escalate, enhancing speed, accuracy in decision-making, and improving the subscriber experience. Provenir customer MTN was able to stop an additional 135% of high-risk transactions via fraud mitigation solutions, without adding friction to the application process. Implementing intelligent risk decisioning not only mitigates fraud but also improves operational efficiency and enhances the overall customer experience. Ready to fight back?

Discover how Provenir can help you maximize subscriber value, minimize risk, and enhance customer satisfaction.

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Blog: The Growing Threat of Fraud in Auto Lending and How to Combat It

The Growing Threat of Fraud in Auto Lending and
How to Combat It

How intelligent decisioning can keep you ahead of fraudsters

As fraud continues to increase in the automotive industry, the impact it has on financial services providers and vehicle buyers is significant. Thanks to the high-value transaction of car buying, and a growing shift towards digital loan applications, fraudsters are finding increasingly sophisticated ways to exploit vulnerabilities in the system. And it’s working for them – automotive fraud is up by more than 50% this year versus last year. Auto lenders are caught in a high-stakes environment, forced to balance the need for instant loan approvals and seamless customer experiences with robust risk management and fraud prevention measures.

This need-for-speed in application processing, driven by consumer expectations and mounting competitive pressure, can create gaps that fraudsters are ready to exploit – putting your financial stability, profitability, and industry reputation at risk. So we’re looking at common fraud schemes, the impact fraud has on the auto industry, and actionable insights for technology-driven solutions that can help you combat fraud in an increasingly digital, high-risk world.

Why is fraud so prevalent in auto lending? There are several factors that make auto financing an appealing target for fraudsters:

  • High-Value:

    Auto loans tend to be high-volume and high-value, meaning successful scams can yield substantial financial rewards.

  • Consumer Demands:

    Today’s digitally-savvy consumers have high expectations of fast loan approvals and frictionless experiences. When same-day decisions are expected, lenders face pressure to prioritize speed over robust risk mitigation measures, creating gaps for fraudsters to slip through.
  • Digital Transformation:

    Further to consumer demands, the ongoing shift to online/digital applications exposes lenders to more sophisticated (and very rapidly evolving) digital fraud schemes, including identity theft and synthetic IDs.
  • Economic Uncertainty:

    Fluctuations in vehicle prices, interest rates, inflation, and economic instability often results in desperation and opportunism, prompting both professional fraudsters (including organized crime rings) and financially strained individuals to engage in fraudulent activities.
It’s a perfect storm, making the automotive industry as a whole, and in particular lenders/financial services providers, increasingly vulnerable to fraud.
The Many Faces of Auto Lending Fraud – And Their Impacts
Fraud in the industry takes on many forms, each posing unique challenges to lenders – and requiring unique tactics to fight it. But what these schemes show is that the complexity and evolving nature of fraud requires advanced detection and prevention measures.
  • Application/First-Party Fraud: Where individuals use false identities or fabricate employment/income info to qualify for loans they wouldn’t otherwise be approved for. Fraudsters might fabricate pay stubs or employers, making it challenging for lenders to verify legitimacy of loan applications. Nearly 80% of all auto fraud cases involve first-party fraud.
  • Synthetic Identity Fraud: Even more insidious (and on the rise – there was a 400% increase in synthetic ID fraud in the automotive industry this past year), synthetic ID fraud involves creating entirely new identities, combining real and fictional info (i.e. mixing a real Social Insurance/Social Security number with fake personal details). Synthetic IDs often have clean credit histories, making them difficult to flag and enabling fraudsters to secure significant loans before disappearing.
  • Dealer Fraud: Dishonest car dealers can collaborate with fraudsters, inflating the price of vehicles or falsifying loan documents to secure higher financing amounts, leaving lenders at risk when the loan defaults
  • Title Washing: This involves the alteration of a vehicle’s title to hide its history of accidents or salvage status – misleading both lenders and potential buyers and making a car appear more valuable than it actually is.
  • Re-Vinning: Involves removing the original Vehicle Identification Number (VIN) from a stolen vehicle and replacing it with a counterfeit VIN from a legally registered vehicle; disguising the stolen vehicle’s true identity and allowing fraudsters to sell/register it without suspicion.
  • Loan Stacking: When individuals apply for multiple auto loans simultaneously, often across different lenders. Securing multiple loans before credit bureaus or financial services providers have time to update records means that fraudsters can walk away with several financed vehicles, leaving lenders on the hook to recover losses.
The impacts of fraud affect financial institutions and the broader automotive industry with significant consequences for both lenders and consumers, including:
  • Financial Losses: Auto lenders and financial services providers collectively lose billions of dollars annually (estimated at nearly $8 billion in 2024) thanks to fraudulent activities. This affects profitability of course, but also creates a ripple effect with higher interest rates and less favorable loan terms for consumers as lenders try to offset their risk.
  • Operational Strain: Detecting, investigating, and managing fraud cases can require substantial resources (human and financial) and a large time investment. This can lead to inefficiencies in day-to-day operations of your business, diverting attention from core business functions.
  • Reputational Damage: Fraud incidents can erode consumer trust and loyalty, and expose lenders to regulatory scrutiny, tarnishing brand image and leading to further financial and operational repercussions.
  • Market Impact: Widespread fraud can contribute to inflated vehicle prices and exacerbate loan risk concerns, deterring both lenders and buyers, leading to declining car sales and impeding market growth.
Combating these challenges requires a concerted effort from the industry as a whole to implement proactive, efficient fraud prevention measures – and ensure the integrity and profitability of your business.
Staying Ahead of Auto Fraud: Best Practices and Solutions
A multi-pronged approach that combines advanced technology, collaboration, and strategic best practices is key to effectively combat the threat of fraud while still balancing operational efficiency and customer satisfaction.
  • Advanced Data Analytics:

    Leveraging data-driven insights is essential in early detection of fraud. Advanced data analytics tools can flag unusual application behaviors (discrepancies in reported income, recurring patterns linked to synthetic IDs, etc.). Analyzing vast datasets allows lenders to identify even the must subtle indicators of fraud that would be difficult to catch through manual reviews, enabling you to more effectively minimize potential losses.
  • Identity Verification Tools:

    Modern IDV tech plays a crucial role in authenticating applicant info. Tools that use biometrics, document verification, and cross-reference with government databases help ensure applicants really are who they say they are. These tools help auto lenders avoid false positives, improving the accuracy of fraud detection and maintaining a frictionless approval process for genuine customers. This allows you to significantly reduce fraud risks, while still supporting a satisfying customer experience.
  • Fraud Detection Software:

    Integrated fraud risk decisioning software helps you streamline and strengthen fraud prevention measures through automation. Incorporating real-time decisioning and machine learning models that can adapt to evolving fraud tactics allows you to detect anomalies instantly and automate repetitive tasks, helping lenders save time and resources. This boosts overall operational efficiency, allowing your teams to focus on higher-value, more strategic tasks while maintaining compliance with relevant regulations.
  • Cross-Industry Collaboration:

    Sharing fraud intelligence and best practices with other lenders and financial organizations in a variety of verticals can help everyone stay informed of new fraud schemes and threats. Cooperation greatly strengthens defenses and ensures a proactive approach to emerging fraud tactics, allowing you to stay one step ahead.
  • Continuous Monitoring:

    Effective fraud prevention doesn’t stop at the application stage. Continuous monitoring of loan portfolios and borrower behavior can help you detect fraudulent activity across the customer journey before it escalates. Monitoring tools that use AI to analyze account patterns and identify signs of fraud helps you protect your business, maintain customer trust, and ensure longer-term financial health.
Key Capabilities to Consider in Fraud Solutions
When selecting fraud detection tools, look at prioritizing the following capabilities:
  • Real-Time Decisioning:
    Instant assessments to flag potential fraud before loan approvals and minimize false positives
  • Machine Learning:
    Adaptive models that learn from fraud attempts to refine detection methods
  • Automation:
    Tools that streamline application processing and fraud checks to improve efficiency and reduce manual workload, while ensuring compliance with relevant regulations

  • Seamless Integration:
    Software solutions that work seamlessly with existing systems to enhance your current fraud prevention methods – and ensure a frictionless customer experience
Future-Proofing Your Fraud Strategy With Provenir

Investment in the right technology is key to a successful, proactive approach to fraud and risk management. The foundation of future-proofing lies in adopting scalable, cloud-based solutions that are capable of adapting to changing fraud threats. Cloud-based platforms offer you flexibility and real-time updates, while AI-driven tech enhances fraud detection by rapidly and accurately analyzing large datasets to identify subtle, complex patterns that can otherwise slip through the cracks. And advanced AI tools will continuously learn from your fraud decisions, allowing you to refine fraud detection processes and stay ahead of fraudsters.

Provenir’s AI-powered fraud solutions offer you:

data

Data Orchestration

Bring your own data or connect to one of our market leading partners using Marketplace integrations

icon-decisioning

Decisioning

Real-time assessments, advanced analytics tools, and machine learning models to deliver intelligent fraud decisioning flows

icon-documents

Case Management

Streamlined referral handling and frictionless investigations

decision intelligence

Decision Intelligence

AI-powered insights to understand and optimize strategy performance

Striking a balance between fast loan approvals and thorough fraud checks is essential. Integrating automated systems for real-time decisioning while maintaining robust case management for complex cases is key, alongside orchestrating data effectively and leveraging intelligent insights for faster, more accurate fraud decisions. By embracing advanced, scalable decisioning technology, you can fortify yourself against both current and future fraud threats – boosting operational efficiency, ensuring security and compliance, and delivering your customers a seamless, secure experience in their automotive journey.

Discover how Provenir’s robust fraud solutions can optimize your auto lending strategy.

Learn More

LATEST BLOGS

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The Growing Threat of Fraud in Auto Lending andHow
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